Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 23

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2025, 12:00 p.m. ET

Kyle Stowers and the Miami Marlins will take the field on Wednesday at loanDepot park, facing off against Dylan Cease, who is expected to start for the San Diego Padres. online gaming company The first pitch is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. The Padres enter this matchup as the favored team at -149, while the underdog Marlins are listed at +124, aiming to play spoiler. San Diego is also favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for this game is set at 8 runs, with -103 odds on the over and -123 odds on the under.

Here’s everything you need to know about the betting perspective for the Padres-Marlins game, including the run line, moneyline, and total, along with expert predictions. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Padres vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 23, 2025, at 12:10 p.m 50jili vip. ET
Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to watch on TV: FDSFL and SDPA

Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds

Padres -149 | +124 | 8 | -103 | -123 | -1.5 | +113 | -135

Padres vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Padres 5
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Padres 51%, Marlins 49%

Padres vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Padres have secured victory in 31 of the 52 games they have played as favorites this season, giving them a success rate of 59.6%. When San Diego is favored by at least -149 on the moneyline, they have won 17 of 26 games, or 65.4%. Based on the moneyline’s implied probability, the Padres have about a 59 okebet user log in.8% chance of winning this match.

The Marlins, on the other hand, have won 41 of the 87 games they’ve played as underdogs this season, establishing a 47.1% win rate. Miami has achieved victory 26 times in 53 attempts when designated as underdogs of at least +124, translating to an implied probability of 44.6% for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have split their last 10 matchups in which they were a moneyline favorite, going 2-2. In their last 10 games (all with set totals), they and their opponents have managed to hit the over four times. Against the spread, San Diego has gone 8-2-0 over the past 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat | Avg/Total
Record: 6-4
Runs Per Game: 3.8
Home Runs: 9
ERA: 3.07
K/9: 7.8

Padres Player Insights

Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs with 18 and RBIs with 60, ranking 30th and 22nd in the majors, respectively. Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .262 with 14 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs, and 55 walks, positioning him 47th in homers and 92nd in RBIs among all MLB hitters. Luis Arraez paces the team with a batting average of .286 and has recorded at least one base hit in five consecutive games, hitting .400 with a double, a walk, and two RBIs over his last five outings. Meanwhile, Xander Bogaerts is batting .268 with 22 doubles and six home runs, and has hit at least once in his last three games, maintaining a .300 batting average in his last five matches.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U
Xander Bogaerts: 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+190)
Jake Cronenworth: 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+145) | – | 0.5 (+185)
Gavin Sheets: 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+125) | – | 0.5 (+165)
Manny Machado: 1.5 (+170) | 1.5 (-110) | – | 0.5 (+140)
Luis Arraez: 1.5 (+135) | 1.5 (-105) | – | 0.5 (+165)

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have been underdogs in eight of their last 10 games, achieving a record of 4-4 in those contests. do888 casino login In the same stretch, they have managed to hit the over only three times. Against the spread, Miami stands at 4-6-0 in their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat | Avg/Total
Record: 5-5
Runs Per Game: 4.1
Home Runs: 11
ERA: 3.58
K/9: 7.4

Marlins Player Insights

Stowers heads the Marlins with 22 home runs and 61 RBIs, holding a team-best batting average of .295. He ranks 14th in homers and 21st in RBIs among MLB batters. Otto Lopez has 11 doubles, 11 home runs, and 33 walks to his name, batting .252. Xavier Edwards is hitting .291 with 15 doubles, two triples, one home run, and 33 walks. Agustin Ramirez showcases a line of 22 doubles, one triple, 14 home runs, and 19 walks while batting .244.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U
Otto Lopez: 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+200)
Xavier Edwards: 1.5 (+185) | 1 jili fishing game.5 (+120) | – | 0.5 (+275)
Sandy Alcantara: – | – | – | –
Nick Fortes: – | – | – | –
Liam Hicks: – | – | – | –

Conclusion

This matchup promises to be thrilling, with both teams having strengths that could influence the outcome. Will the Padres maintain their favorite status, or will the Marlins pull off an upset?